Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
13.6726.1%
X3.4028.1%
22.0945.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield United
LLLLWLWLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Southampton
WDWDDLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
4.30
9.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded2.40
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.00goals per match
Sheffield United conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.30
9.20
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
19.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.60
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.1%21.8%-4.3 pp
Draw28.1%41.8%+13.7 pp
Away45.8%36.4%-9.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.516.4%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.751.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-021.8%
1-014.5%
1-114.5%
0-112.7%
1-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.514.95
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT61.9%40.9%–79.2% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal42.9%
2+ goals9.5%
3+ goals4.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home19.0%
Away28.6%