Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 12:30
15.4817.4%
X3.9424.3%
21.6458.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
DWWLWLDDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Arsenal
WDLLWWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
0.70
50%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.20
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
9.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.00goals per matchArsenal conceded0.90Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.40goals per matchBurnley conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
21.70
Match total
19.10
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%21.9%+4.4 pp
Draw24.3%18.8%-5.5 pp
Away58.3%59.4%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.13–1.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-218.8%
0-215.6%
1-112.5%
0-112.5%
0-39.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.56–5.34
Average total8.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.534.4%
Over 10.518.8%
Over 11.515.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away72.7%