Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-04 · 20:15
12.2642.4%
X3.5926.7%
23.1030.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWDDLLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Chelsea
WWLLLWLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.50N=10
2.70
Against
4.10
9.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.10
9.50
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.10
Match total
3.20
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
19.90
Match total
23.00

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%44.2%+1.8 pp
Draw26.7%28.6%+1.9 pp
Away30.9%27.3%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.531.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-011.7%
2-011.7%
2-19.1%
1-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.69
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%31.6%–61.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%20.6%–49.0% CI
Away FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.1%
Away38.5%