Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 20:15
17.5612.7%
X4.6020.8%
21.4466.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WLDLDWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man United
WWWDWDWDDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.80
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
8.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.10goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Matchup

Man United attack

1.50goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
8.40
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
1.90
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
20.10
Match total
23.10

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.00
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.7%3.7%-9.0 pp
Draw20.8%14.8%-6.0 pp
Away66.5%81.5%+15.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS40.7%

Historical average

0.592.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-222.2%
0-122.2%
1-214.8%
2-37.4%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.705.26
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.9%
Over 9.540.7%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.518.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away91.7%