Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-01 · 20:00
12.1943.7%
X3.4527.7%
23.3428.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
DLLWWLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Southampton
DWDWDDLLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
2.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.90
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
2.60
2.40
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.80goals per match
Southampton conceded2.60
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.30goals per match
Everton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.20
Match total
24.00

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches280
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.0%+1.3 pp
Draw27.7%26.4%-1.3 pp
Away28.6%28.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.411.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-013.6%
2-19.6%
0-18.2%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.44
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%30.1%–49.5% CI
Draw FT34.0%25.3%–44.1% CI
Away FT26.6%18.7%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.5%
Away44.7%