Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 16:30
12.2742.2%
X3.2929.1%
23.3528.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWDWWDLDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Man United
WWWWDWDWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
10.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.00
Matchup

Man United attack

1.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
10.60
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.30
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.50
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
6.00
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches218
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%47.2%+5.0 pp
Draw29.1%23.9%-5.3 pp
Away28.6%28.9%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.441.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
0-010.1%
2-19.2%
1-18.7%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.48
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=218.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%30.0%–51.0% CI
Draw FT33.8%24.3%–44.6% CI
Away FT26.3%17.9%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away37.5%