Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 12:00
12.5138.2%
X3.3428.7%
22.8933.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leicester
LWLWLDWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Arsenal
LWDLLWWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
0.60
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.00
Against
4.80
9.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leicester attack
1.50goals per matchArsenal conceded0.90Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.10goals per matchLeicester conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.80
9.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
24.60
Match total
19.80
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%37.3%-0.8 pp
Draw28.7%26.5%-2.2 pp
Away33.1%36.1%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS55.4%
Historical average
1.31–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-012.0%
0-110.2%
1-29.0%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.44
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.3%25.8%–52.6% CI
Draw FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI
Away FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals25.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.8%
Away55.3%