Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 12:00
13.4927.4%
X3.1730.2%
22.2642.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
DWLDLDWLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fulham
DLWLDDDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.20goals per match
Fulham conceded1.00
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.00goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.20
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
20.20
Match total
21.40

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%26.1%-1.3 pp
Draw30.2%29.5%-0.7 pp
Away42.4%44.3%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

0.921.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.9%
0-114.8%
1-013.6%
1-18.0%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.175.07
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.530.7%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Draw FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Away FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal48.1%
2+ goals18.5%
3+ goals3.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home22.2%
Away33.3%