Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 12:00
13.4927.4%
X3.1730.2%
22.2642.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
DWLDLDWLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fulham
DLWLDDDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.20goals per matchFulham conceded1.00Matchup
Fulham attack
1.00goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.20
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
20.20
Match total
21.40
Shots
8.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%26.1%-1.3 pp
Draw30.2%29.5%-0.7 pp
Away42.4%44.3%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS37.5%
Historical average
0.92–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.9%
0-114.8%
1-013.6%
1-18.0%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.17–5.07
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.530.7%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Draw FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Away FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Remaining goals
0.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal48.1%
2+ goals18.5%
3+ goals3.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home22.2%
Away33.3%