Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 20:00
13.5127.3%
X3.1230.7%
22.2842.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
LWLWDDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Wolves
WLWLLLDDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.80
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.20goals per match
Wolves conceded1.40
Matchup

Wolves attack

0.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.60
Match total
21.50

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%26.0%-1.3 pp
Draw30.7%27.4%-3.3 pp
Away42.0%46.6%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS41.1%

Historical average

0.931.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
0-013.7%
1-012.3%
1-211.0%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.935.11
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.527.4%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

0.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal54.5%
2+ goals22.7%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.8%
Away31.8%