Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 17:30
12.2342.9%
X3.6326.4%
23.1230.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LLDLWWLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Aston Villa
WLWWDLLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
9.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Leeds conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
9.90
Match total
11.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
20.30
Match total
25.50

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%40.0%-2.9 pp
Draw26.4%25.3%-1.0 pp
Away30.7%34.7%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.451.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.0%
1-110.7%
1-29.3%
0-08.0%
0-35.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.57
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away22.7%