Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
14.1423.2%
X3.4427.9%
21.9648.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
DLWLLLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Brighton
DLWLDDLWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.90
2.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.10
Against
6.00
11.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.90
2.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

0.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.90goals per match
West Brom conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.00
11.20
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.40
Match total
20.40

Shots

7.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.00
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%30.2%+7.0 pp
Draw27.9%22.2%-5.7 pp
Away48.9%47.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.981.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.9%
1-214.3%
1-111.1%
0-19.5%
0-37.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.145.22
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.538.1%
Over 10.527.0%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away52.2%