Super Lig · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 19:00
12.1942.8%
X3.5226.6%
23.0630.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Besiktas
WLWLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Fenerbahce
DLWWLLDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.40
Against
4.10
12.20
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Besiktas attack
2.30goals per matchFenerbahce conceded1.60Matchup
Fenerbahce attack
1.20goals per matchBesiktas conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.10
12.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
7.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.00
Match total
27.90
Shots
17.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
6.20
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%37.7%-5.0 pp
Draw26.6%28.3%+1.7 pp
Away30.6%34.0%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.43–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.3%
2-29.4%
0-17.5%
1-27.5%
2-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–4.45
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.537.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away33.3%