Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 12:30
11.2377.8%
X6.5514.6%
212.557.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
DWWDWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
West Ham
DLWWLDWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.40
0.20
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.30
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.20goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.20Matchup
West Ham attack
1.40goals per matchMan City conceded0.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.40
Match total
2.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
18.30
Match total
21.50
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.90
On target
4.40
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.8%83.3%+5.6 pp
Draw14.6%13.3%-1.3 pp
Away7.6%3.3%-4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.596.7%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS63.3%
Historical average
2.53–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-130.0%
3-013.3%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
3-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.47–3.07
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.543.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.3%
Away31.3%