Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 18:00
12.3441.0%
X3.4727.6%
23.0631.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DLLDLWWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
WDWDWDDLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
3.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Southampton conceded2.30
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.40goals per match
Leeds conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
20.20
Match total
23.40

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%40.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27.6%22.8%-4.9 pp
Away31.4%36.7%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.471.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.4%
1-110.1%
2-07.6%
1-07.6%
0-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.80
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away34.8%