Super Lig · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 19:00
11.6257.9%
X4.0623.1%
24.9519.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fenerbahce
WWWWWDLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goztep
WWLLWDWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.30
2.30
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
8.50
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
4.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fenerbahce attack
2.70goals per matchGoztep conceded1.20Matchup
Goztep attack
1.30goals per matchFenerbahce conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
8.50
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
6.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
28.50
Match total
25.20
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.20
On target
2.50
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%53.6%-4.4 pp
Draw23.1%14.3%-8.8 pp
Away19.0%32.1%+13.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.79–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-110.7%
3-010.7%
1-210.7%
1-110.7%
0-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.89
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away50.0%