Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 19:00
11.3073.9%
X5.7516.7%
210.279.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DLWDWWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Newcastle
DLWLLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
6.50
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.30goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.80
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.70goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.50
10.70
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.10
Match total
21.20

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.40
On target
2.90
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.9%65.3%-8.6 pp
Draw16.7%26.5%+9.8 pp
Away9.4%8.2%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

2.160.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
2-210.2%
1-110.2%
1-010.2%
3-010.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.763.41
Average total11.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.587.8%
Over 9.577.6%
Over 10.561.2%
Over 11.540.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away33.3%