Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 16:30
16.2715.3%
X4.3622.0%
21.5362.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
LLLLDWDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man City
DWLDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.20
Against
2.90
11.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.60
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
2.90
11.60
Match total
8.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.30
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
22.50
Match total
19.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
4.30
On target
5.80
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.3%11.4%-3.9 pp
Draw22.0%20.5%-1.5 pp
Away62.7%68.2%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

0.842.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.2%
0-211.4%
0-19.1%
1-19.1%
1-39.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.276.18
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.538.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away76.9%