Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 14:05
12.8733.4%
X3.5027.4%
22.4439.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWLLLDWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Leicester
WWLWWDWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.30
11.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
3.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.90goals per match
Leicester conceded0.80
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.30
11.00
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
27.20
Match total
21.80

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.30
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%35.4%+2.1 pp
Draw27.4%31.6%+4.3 pp
Away39.3%32.9%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.411.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.9%
1-28.9%
0-17.6%
3-17.6%
1-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.205.03
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Draw FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away46.4%