Super Lig · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:00
11.3768.3%
X4.9119.1%
27.4012.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fenerbahce
DWLWWWWWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Denizlispor
DLWLWWDLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fenerbahce attack

2.30goals per match
Denizlispor conceded1.50
Matchup

Denizlispor attack

1.10goals per match
Fenerbahce conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
9.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.50
Match total
28.20

Shots

20.10N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
7.40
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.3%60.9%-7.4 pp
Draw19.1%26.1%+7.0 pp
Away12.6%13.0%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

2.040.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
3-013.0%
2-18.7%
0-08.7%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.61
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.3%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away33.3%