Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 17:30
11.4765.1%
X4.5920.8%
26.7914.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWDDLLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Everton
WLLWDWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.80
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.30
Matchup

Everton attack

1.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.10
Match total
3.80
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.1%65.7%+0.6 pp
Draw20.8%25.4%+4.5 pp
Away14.1%9.0%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

2.420.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.4%
3-113.4%
0-010.4%
1-19.0%
3-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.493.43
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away35.0%