Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 15:00
12.0446.9%
X3.3128.9%
23.9624.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LWDWWLWLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
West Brom
DLLLDDWLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.00
Against
7.50
8.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.00goals per match
West Brom conceded1.60
Matchup

West Brom attack

0.90goals per match
Burnley conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
1.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.50
8.80
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.00
Match total
3.00
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.00
Match total
21.30

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
2.90
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%48.3%+1.4 pp
Draw28.9%26.5%-2.4 pp
Away24.2%25.1%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.471.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
2-111.8%
1-011.4%
0-19.0%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.904.15
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI
Draw FT43.6%31.4%–56.7% CI
Away FT23.6%14.4%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals7.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away41.8%