Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 12:30
14.9319.4%
X3.7625.5%
21.7455.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWLWLDWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Chelsea
DWWLLLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.50N=10
5.20
Against
4.70
10.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.20goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.10goals per match
Southampton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.70
10.30
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.80
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
21.80
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%24.0%+4.6 pp
Draw25.5%30.0%+4.5 pp
Away55.1%46.0%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.301.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
0-212.0%
2-212.0%
0-36.0%
2-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.126.02
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away60.0%