Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-17 · 20:15
18.5611.2%
X5.3318.0%
21.3570.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WDLLWWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
DDWLDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.90
Against
3.60
10.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.10goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Matchup

Man City attack

1.80goals per match
Everton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.60
10.50
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.70
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
22.30
Match total
20.50

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.2%15.0%+3.8 pp
Draw18.0%10.0%-8.0 pp
Away70.9%75.0%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.702.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.0%
0-410.0%
1-210.0%
1-410.0%
0-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.906.70
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals42.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away78.6%