Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-15 · 20:00
11.2477.0%
X6.3615.0%
211.978.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDWDWWDLDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Newcastle
DDLWLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.50
10.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.50
10.40
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.30
Match total
21.40

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
6.10
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.0%85.7%+8.7 pp
Draw15.0%7.1%-7.9 pp
Away8.0%7.1%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.360.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-125.0%
3-121.4%
2-014.3%
5-010.7%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.68
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%