Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 16:30
11.8950.6%
X3.7725.4%
23.9824.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WLLLLDWDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leeds
WWLWLLWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.10
Against
5.80
11.30
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
3.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded1.80
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.90goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.80
11.30
Match total
11.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.20
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.30
On target
5.40
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%33.3%-17.3 pp
Draw25.4%40.7%+15.4 pp
Away24.0%25.9%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

1.461.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-127.8%
2-09.3%
1-29.3%
0-07.4%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.91
Average total10.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away53.3%