Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 16:30
11.8950.6%
X3.7725.4%
23.9824.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
WLLLLDWDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leeds
WWLWLLWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.10
Against
5.80
11.30
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.00goals per matchLeeds conceded1.80Matchup
Leeds attack
1.90goals per matchArsenal conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.80
11.30
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.20
Match total
22.10
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.30
On target
5.40
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%33.3%-17.3 pp
Draw25.4%40.7%+15.4 pp
Away24.0%25.9%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS63.0%
Historical average
1.46–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-127.8%
2-09.3%
1-29.3%
0-07.4%
0-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.81–4.91
Average total10.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.535.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away53.3%