Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 14:00
19.1910.4%
X5.5217.4%
21.3372.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
DDLWLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Man United
WWWWWDWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.10
2.80
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.50
Against
4.20
11.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.10
2.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

0.70goals per match
Man United conceded1.00
Matchup

Man United attack

2.10goals per match
West Brom conceded2.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.40
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.20
11.50
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.80
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.50
Match total
23.70

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.00
On target
6.20
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.4%14.7%+4.3 pp
Draw17.4%20.6%+3.2 pp
Away72.2%64.7%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS38.2%

Historical average

0.852.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-114.7%
0-38.8%
0-28.8%
0-48.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.006.53
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away60.0%