Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 12:00
12.4239.5%
X3.2129.8%
23.1230.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWWLWLDWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Wolves
LWLWLLLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.30goals per match
Wolves conceded1.70
Matchup

Wolves attack

0.70goals per match
Southampton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.80
Match total
21.40

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.10
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%40.6%+1.1 pp
Draw29.8%32.6%+2.8 pp
Away30.7%26.8%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.221.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-014.7%
0-011.6%
0-19.4%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.43
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.4%22.6%–41.8% CI
Draw FT40.7%30.9%–51.3% CI
Away FT27.9%19.5%–38.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals30.2%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away40.7%