Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 20:00
12.7734.5%
X3.4028.1%
22.5637.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LDDDLDLDDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Aston Villa
WWLWWDLLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.80
Against
5.50
9.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.50
9.70
Match total
11.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
21.90
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%34.7%+0.2 pp
Draw28.1%28.0%-0.2 pp
Away37.4%37.3%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.451.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.3%
0-08.5%
0-28.5%
2-18.5%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.355.48
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.1%
Over 9.561.0%
Over 10.551.7%
Over 11.539.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%24.1%–53.9% CI
Away FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals51.4%
3+ goals27.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away54.1%