Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-08 · 20:00
11.8651.4%
X3.8225.0%
24.0623.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WDLLDLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWLLWDLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
6.30
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.30
11.00
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.10
Match total
2.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.80
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.40
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%42.6%-8.8 pp
Draw25.0%34.4%+9.4 pp
Away23.6%23.0%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.640.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.0%
0-19.8%
2-09.8%
1-26.6%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.205.16
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals5.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away63.2%