Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 19:15
17.1813.4%
X4.3821.9%
21.4864.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield United
LDLLLLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Chelsea
DDWWLLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
9.30
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Sheffield United conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
9.30
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
19.60
Match total
23.20

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.4%13.6%+0.3 pp
Draw21.9%18.2%-3.7 pp
Away64.8%68.2%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

0.771.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.2%
1-218.2%
0-118.2%
0-09.1%
2-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.555.68
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away54.5%