Premier League · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 16:30
13.3728.4%
X3.6326.4%
22.1245.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWWDDLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Man City
WDDWLDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.00
Against
3.40
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
0.60
2.40
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.70goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Matchup

Man City attack

1.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.40
9.90
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.20
Match total
2.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
19.80
Match total
19.80

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
6.00
On target
5.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%32.2%+3.8 pp
Draw26.4%23.7%-2.7 pp
Away45.2%44.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS69.5%

Historical average

1.511.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
1-18.5%
2-28.5%
1-28.5%
1-38.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.735.46
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%