Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
13.0531.3%
X3.5726.8%
22.2841.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LWDLDWLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Aston Villa
LLWDLLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.10
Against
5.70
10.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.30
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.90
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.60goals per match
West Ham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.70
10.90
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
17.70
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.90
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%20.0%-11.3 pp
Draw26.8%31.4%+4.7 pp
Away41.9%48.6%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS68.6%

Historical average

1.291.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.3%
0-011.4%
2-28.6%
2-18.6%
1-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.57
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away63.6%