Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
12.1843.8%
X3.4727.5%
23.3428.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LDWLLWLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sheffield United
WLLDWDLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.40
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.20
Against
6.90
11.80
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
Sheffield United conceded1.40
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.40goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.90
11.80
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.80
Match total
19.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
4.20
On target
1.80
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%46.9%+3.0 pp
Draw27.5%28.1%+0.6 pp
Away28.6%25.0%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.501.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-012.5%
2-010.2%
0-07.8%
3-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.164.45
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.561.7%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.539.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.1%23.2%–53.7% CI
Draw FT48.6%33.0%–64.4% CI
Away FT14.3%6.3%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away40.0%