Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
11.0789.4%
X12.807.5%
230.423.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Norwich
DLLLDLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.30
0.50
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.70
Against
6.80
8.60
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.50
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man City attack

3.00goals per match
Norwich conceded1.90
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.30goals per match
Man City conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.80
8.60
Match total
10.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.40
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
16.90
Match total
22.40

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.40
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home89.4%100.0%+10.6 pp
Draw7.5%0.0%-7.5 pp
Away3.1%0.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.9%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

3.820.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-018.2%
3-018.2%
2-118.2%
6-118.2%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

9.363.00
Average total12.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.5100.0%
Over 9.581.8%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%