Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
11.0789.4%
X12.807.5%
230.423.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Norwich
DLLLDLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
0.30
0.50
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.70
Against
6.80
8.60
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
3.00goals per matchNorwich conceded1.90Matchup
Norwich attack
0.30goals per matchMan City conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.80
8.60
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
16.90
Match total
22.40
Shots
18.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.40
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home89.4%100.0%+10.6 pp
Draw7.5%0.0%-7.5 pp
Away3.1%0.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.9%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS45.5%
Historical average
3.82–0.45
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-018.2%
3-018.2%
2-118.2%
6-118.2%
2-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
9.36–3.00
Average total12.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.5100.0%
Over 9.581.8%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.545.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away36.4%