Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
13.1730.1%
X3.4927.3%
22.2442.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
DLLWDLWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Man United
LWLLWDDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.60
Against
5.80
11.30
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.70goals per match
Man United conceded0.80
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Leicester conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.80
11.30
Match total
11.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.50
On target
5.20
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%29.9%-0.2 pp
Draw27.3%29.9%+2.5 pp
Away42.6%40.3%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.191.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-213.4%
1-011.9%
0-07.5%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.885.55
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.552.2%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away66.7%