Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
12.2442.7%
X3.7825.3%
22.9832.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
DWWDWDDWDD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Bournemouth
WLLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.80
Against
7.20
10.20
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.20
1.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.20goals per matchBournemouth conceded2.20Matchup
Bournemouth attack
0.60goals per matchEverton conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.20
10.20
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.70
Match total
20.20
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%41.7%-1.0 pp
Draw25.3%25.0%-0.3 pp
Away32.1%33.3%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.56–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.9%
2-011.1%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%
4-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–4.50
Average total10.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.8%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.536.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away20.0%