Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
11.8452.0%
X3.7625.4%
24.2322.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LLWDLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Wolves
WLLWDWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.70
11.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.70goals per match
Wolves conceded1.00
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.70
11.80
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.40
Match total
20.50

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.80
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%51.9%-0.0 pp
Draw25.4%26.9%+1.5 pp
Away22.6%21.2%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS44.2%

Historical average

1.520.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-011.5%
1-111.5%
0-09.6%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.73
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals26.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away21.1%