Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
12.3241.2%
X3.4427.8%
23.0931.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
WLLWDWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brighton
DLLLDDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.10goals per matchBrighton conceded1.20Matchup
Brighton attack
0.90goals per matchBurnley conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.00
Match total
17.30
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%45.5%+4.3 pp
Draw27.8%28.4%+0.5 pp
Away31.0%26.1%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS44.8%
Historical average
1.42–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-014.9%
1-011.2%
1-18.2%
2-07.5%
0-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.01–4.27
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI
Draw FT53.1%39.4%–66.3% CI
Away FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.02
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal59.2%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals8.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.8%
Away36.7%