Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
12.3241.2%
X3.4427.8%
23.0931.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
WLLWDWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brighton
DLLLDDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.90goals per match
Burnley conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.00
Match total
17.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%45.5%+4.3 pp
Draw27.8%28.4%+0.5 pp
Away31.0%26.1%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

1.421.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.9%
1-011.2%
1-18.2%
2-07.5%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.014.27
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI
Draw FT53.1%39.4%–66.3% CI
Away FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.02

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.2%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals8.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.8%
Away36.7%