Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:00
11.9349.6%
X3.8924.6%
23.7225.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
LLWDWWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Watford
LDWLDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.50
9.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.70
Matchup

Watford attack

0.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.50
9.20
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.90
Match total
22.20

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.10
On target
3.00
20%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%41.0%-8.6 pp
Draw24.6%43.6%+19.0 pp
Away25.7%15.4%-10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS64.1%

Historical average

1.460.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.8%
1-012.8%
2-17.7%
1-27.7%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.69
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away38.5%