Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 20:15
12.0446.9%
X3.7025.9%
23.5127.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWWWWWD
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Chelsea
WWDLDDWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.60
0.40
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
6.90N=10
5.20
Against
3.40
13.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.40
13.80
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
1.90
Match total
3.90
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
16.30
Match total
22.10

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
6.30
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%56.3%+9.4 pp
Draw25.9%21.9%-4.0 pp
Away27.3%21.9%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.881.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.6%
1-012.5%
1-112.5%
1-26.3%
4-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.91
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away40.0%