Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 20:15
13.2429.5%
X3.7825.3%
22.1145.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LWLWLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Arsenal
DDDDDLLWWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
6.40
10.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.40
10.50
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
27.10
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%27.3%-2.2 pp
Draw25.3%21.2%-4.1 pp
Away45.3%51.5%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS75.8%

Historical average

1.332.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.2%
1-115.2%
2-412.1%
1-39.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.795.06
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away81.8%