Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 18:00
18.6211.1%
X5.6017.1%
21.3371.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WWWDLWDLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Man City
WLWWLWLLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
7.20N=10
4.40
Against
2.90
8.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.80goals per match
Man City conceded1.10
Matchup

Man City attack

1.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
2.90
8.00
Match total
10.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
25.70
Match total
20.10

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
3.40
On target
5.70
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.1%12.5%+1.4 pp
Draw17.1%18.8%+1.7 pp
Away71.8%68.8%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.556.3%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.002.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-418.8%
0-112.5%
1-212.5%
0-56.3%
2-46.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.946.25
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away81.8%