Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 18:00
11.9349.5%
X3.4227.9%
24.2322.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LWDDDLWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Newcastle
LLDDLLWWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.00
Against
5.30
10.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.30
10.40
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.30
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.40
On target
2.80
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.5%51.3%+1.8 pp
Draw27.9%27.7%-0.2 pp
Away22.6%21.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.571.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
1-115.1%
2-112.6%
1-28.4%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.084.07
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%26.4%–57.8% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away38.2%