Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 14:00
12.3940.1%
X3.6526.2%
22.8433.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LDLWWDLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Southampton
WWWWLLWWDD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.80
Against
4.80
12.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.90goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.80
12.20
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.40
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
2.70
On target
5.80
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.2%-0.8 pp
Draw26.2%37.3%+11.0 pp
Away33.7%23.5%-10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.451.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.6%
2-011.8%
2-29.8%
0-07.8%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.945.33
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.539.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away46.2%