Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 17:30
13.3228.8%
X3.3328.7%
22.2542.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Norwich
LDDWLWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Burnley
WLLWWDLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Against
7.80
9.80
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Norwich attack
0.60goals per matchBurnley conceded1.10Matchup
Burnley attack
0.80goals per matchNorwich conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
7.80
9.80
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.50
Match total
19.60
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
6.00N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
6%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%27.1%-1.7 pp
Draw28.7%24.7%-4.0 pp
Away42.5%48.2%+5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
0.95–1.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.9%
0-211.8%
0-011.8%
1-19.4%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.36–5.11
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals21.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.5%
Away50.0%