Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 17:30
13.3228.8%
X3.3328.7%
22.2542.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
LDDWLWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Burnley
WLLWWDLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Against
7.80
9.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.60goals per match
Burnley conceded1.10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Norwich conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
7.80
9.80
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.50
Match total
19.60

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
6.00N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%27.1%-1.7 pp
Draw28.7%24.7%-4.0 pp
Away42.5%48.2%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

0.951.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.9%
0-211.8%
0-011.8%
1-19.4%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.365.11
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away50.0%