Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-17 · 20:00
12.4239.6%
X3.0431.5%
23.3128.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LLWDLDWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Watford
LLDWLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
10.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.60goals per match
Watford conceded1.60
Matchup

Watford attack

0.60goals per match
West Ham conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
10.40
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.40
Match total
3.40
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
17.30
Match total
22.90

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%30.8%-8.8 pp
Draw31.5%30.8%-0.7 pp
Away28.9%38.5%+9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS76.9%

Historical average

1.381.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.1%
0-315.4%
2-115.4%
1-37.7%
4-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.463.08
Average total7.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.530.8%
Over 9.530.8%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.57.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%