Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:15
12.1843.9%
X3.3128.9%
23.5327.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WLDWLLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Brighton
WDLLLDDDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.10
Against
5.40
11.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.40
11.50
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.10
Match total
17.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%43.6%-0.3 pp
Draw28.9%32.9%+4.0 pp
Away27.1%23.5%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.381.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
1-011.4%
2-110.7%
0-08.7%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.36
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%27.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT23.2%14.1%–35.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away50.0%