Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:15
19.849.7%
X5.0019.2%
21.3571.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WDWDLLWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man United
WLWLLWDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.20
Against
7.20
11.90
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.90goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.20
11.90
Match total
12.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.30
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.60
On target
5.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.7%14.3%+4.5 pp
Draw19.2%14.3%-4.9 pp
Away71.1%71.4%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.792.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-314.3%
2-114.3%
0-414.3%
0-214.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.436.71
Average total11.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals90.0%
3+ goals70.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away80.0%