Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 18:00
14.5621.0%
X3.7725.4%
21.7953.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWLLWDDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Tottenham
LWDLDWLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
7.60
Against
5.50
12.60
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
7.60
Corners against
5.50
12.60
Match total
11.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.00
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
23.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%14.3%-6.7 pp
Draw25.4%38.1%+12.7 pp
Away53.6%47.6%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.191.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-219.0%
0-19.5%
1-19.5%
0-09.5%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.147.14
Average total11.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.2%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.547.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

0.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home18.2%
Away45.5%