Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 18:00
14.5621.0%
X3.7725.4%
21.7953.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
WWLLWDDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Tottenham
LWDLDWLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
7.60
Against
5.50
12.60
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.10goals per matchTottenham conceded1.40Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.10goals per matchNewcastle conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
7.60
Corners against
5.50
12.60
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
23.20
Match total
24.70
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%14.3%-6.7 pp
Draw25.4%38.1%+12.7 pp
Away53.6%47.6%-5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.19–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-219.0%
0-19.5%
1-19.5%
0-09.5%
2-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.14–7.14
Average total11.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.2%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.547.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Remaining goals
0.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home18.2%
Away45.5%