Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 20:15
11.1385.2%
X9.5010.1%
220.764.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
WLLWDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Norwich
LDLLLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.60
12.30
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.80goals per matchNorwich conceded2.00Matchup
Norwich attack
0.40goals per matchChelsea conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.60
12.30
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
20.30
Match total
22.40
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.10
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.2%100.0%+14.8 pp
Draw10.1%0.0%-10.1 pp
Away4.6%0.0%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.0%
Over 3.570.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
3.60–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-020.0%
5-010.0%
4-310.0%
3-210.0%
2-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.90–4.20
Average total12.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.560.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away30.0%