Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 20:15
11.1385.2%
X9.5010.1%
220.764.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WLLWDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Norwich
LDLLLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.60
12.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.80goals per match
Norwich conceded2.00
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.40goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.60
12.30
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
20.30
Match total
22.40

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.10
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.2%100.0%+14.8 pp
Draw10.1%0.0%-10.1 pp
Away4.6%0.0%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.0%
Over 3.570.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

3.600.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-020.0%
5-010.0%
4-310.0%
3-210.0%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.904.20
Average total12.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.560.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%